REUTERS/STR] The
CIA's 2000 report guided George W. Bush. Back in 2000, the CIA published a
70-page report on what the world would be like in 2015.
Here were some of
those predictions, according to a December 2000 story from The Telegraph.
"International
affairs are increasingly determined by large and powerful organizations rather
than governments." Verdict: Probably true, though it is sometimes hard to
distinguish between non-state actors and state actors. Just look at the Islamic
State or the possibly-not-North Korean hackers who took down Sony.
"Between now
and 2015 terrorist tactics will become increasingly sophisticated and designed
to achieve mass casualties." Verdict: Definitely true. Sadly, this
prediction became true within months.
"Iraq and
Iran [will] develop long range missiles in the near future. Iran … could be
testing such weapons by as early as the coming year and cruise missiles by
2004." Verdict: Both true and false. Iran is definitely working on an
ICBM, but it won't test it till next year.
"The world
population will grow by more than one billion, to 7.2 billion." Verdict:
True.
"Energy
resources will be sufficient to meet demand." Verdict: Nailed it.
Companies are actually canceling plans to dig up more natural gas because oil
is abundant right now.
"China's
economy will grow to overtake Europe as the world's second largest but still
behind the United States." Verdict: True-ish. By some measurements,
China's economy is now larger than the US economy.
"Europe will
not achieve fully the dreams of parity with the US as a shaper of the global
economic system." Verdict: Correct. The report was way too bullish on the
European economy, which is "going nowhere" these days.
"Aids,
famine, and continuing economic and political turmoil means that populations in
many [African] countries will actually fall." Verdict: False. Africa's
population rose from 800 million in 2000 to 1.1 billion in 2014.
CIA Made these predictions for 2015, find out what
Reviewed by Unknown
on
Saturday, January 03, 2015
Rating:
Reviewed by Unknown
on
Saturday, January 03, 2015
Rating:


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